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AFOS-Analytics1/usa-2024-electoral-divergence

378 downloads in 30 days1 likesLast modified 25 Jul 2026View on Hugging Face

The declared licence (cc-by-4.0) is classified as permissive.

Declared licence: cc-by-4.0, from the tagEvidence: README.md at 775370c
Licence files: LICENSE, LICENSE-APACHE-2.0, LICENSE-CC-BY-4.0, detected as cc-by-4.0Evidence: LICENSE at 775370c
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Citation text from the card

**Polls, FiveThirtyEight (CC BY 4.0).** Poll toplines come from FiveThirtyEight's public 2024 president-poll database. FiveThirtyEight was wound down in 2025 and its live endpoint no longer serves the CSV; this dataset uses the **Internet Archive Wayback Machine snapshot of 4 Nov 2024** ([archived CSV](https://web.archive.org/web/20241104120000id_/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/data/president_polls.csv)), a frozen, permanently citable copy. The CC BY 4.0 attribution obligation does not lapse with the site: please credit **FiveThirtyEight / ABC News** (compiler) and the **original polling firms** (e.g. NYT/Siena, Marquette, Emerson, Quinnipiac). Nothing is imputed or smoothed; missing values are left blank.

**Market odds** come from the public Polymarket markets. **Press** anchors are public articles, archived in the Wayback Machine.

**License (dual):** **data** → CC BY 4.0 (`LICENSE-CC-BY-4.0`); **code/scripts** → Apache 2.0 (`LICENSE-APACHE-2.0`), matching the AFOS repo root and Hugging Face mirror. Please attribute **AFOS Analytics**, **FiveThirtyEight / ABC News**, and the **original pollsters**.

**Cite:** *AFOS Analytics. USA 2024 Electoral Divergence Dataset. Hugging Face, 2026. CC BY 4.0.* (see `CITATION.cff`)

**Disclaimer:** observational research. Not investment advice, not voting guidance.

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